Palmetto Pitfight

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Trump-Rubio-Cruz-AP-640x423

 

An early evening.  Trump wins with a third of the vote, which appears to be his ceiling.  Rubio and Cruz are battling for second place with each of them approximately at 20%.  A good night for Rubio in that he gets back into the top three.  A bad night for Cruz in that South Carolina was a state made for him to win, or at least be a close second.  Kasich and Bush are each at nine percent and Carson is at 6%.  Jeb Bush spent a huge amount of money in South Carolina.  Back in 2000 his brother won soundly against McCain after McCain won in New Hampshire, putting Bush in front for the nomination.  History did not repeat itself for the Bush family, South Carolina this time underlining that Jeb Bush has no chance for the nomination.  Jeb hates Trump and I expect him to drop out and endorse Rubio.  I expect that Carson will soon do the same.

On the Democrat side there are no results in South Carolina as the Democrats hold their primary next week.  In the Nevada caucuses, Clinton squeaks by with 52% of the vote.  The Republicans hold their caucus on February 23.

Bottom line:  a good night for Trump, a bad night for Cruz and perhaps a great night for Rubio if both Bush and Carson swiftly drop out and endorse him.  A meh night for Clinton as she remains locked in a tight battle with Sanders, and a good night for Sanders as he remains locked in a tight battle with Clinton.

 

Update:  Well that didn’t take long.  In his concession speech Jeb Bush just announced he is “suspending” his campaign.

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12 Comments

  1. Well at least I got one thing correct fight from the start – I said Jeb Bush would not be the nominee and tonight I am finally proven correct.

    Kasich appears to be dwelling in some fantasy world where he still has a path to the nomination. Carson would drop out but he still has a few more books to sell, so it looks like he might stay in a little longer as well.

  2. Jeb made a classy exit,he had all the money but the wrong message.People are angry,frightened,,and disgusted with the state of the country.Two Bush presidencies,12 years, helped create the current state of affairs.

  3. I submit that Clinton’s policies, actions and inactions had as much to do with the collapse that led to Barack Obumbler getting elected in 2008 as much as anything either Bush did, if not more.

    The pressure put on banks to loan money to uncreditworthy people was increased by Clinton. Clinton let Red China get anything they wanted out of Los Alamos. Clinton and is party officially supported “regime change” in Iraq. The 9/11 terrorists overstayed their visas under Clinton. The embassy bombings and the USS Cole happened under Clinton.

    He is as guilty as the Bushes …..and we elected them and brought it all on ourselves.

  4. (1) Trump will be the nominee. (2) The GOP is forever changed, a good thing since it is rotten to its core and does not differ significantly from the Democrat Party, also completely corrupt. (3) The Bush name is history in national politics, a patriotic service for which much is owed Donald Trump. Trump’s denunciation of W Bush’s disastrous foreign policy is another signal service to the nation and to conservatives who no longer need pretend it was anything else but catastrophic. (4) Trump will win the presidency by correctly tying traitorous foreign fund-raising connections (Iranian and other Mohammedan groups) around the neck of the inept wife of Bill Clinton. The nation has had quite enough of these kinds of turncoats at its helm for far too long.

  5. “The GOP is forever changed, a good thing since it is rotten to its core and does not differ significantly from the Democrat Party, also completely corrupt”

    Trump is a Democrat.

    http://www.nationalreview.com/article/431320/donald-trump-conventional-democrat

    “The Bush name is history in national politics, a patriotic service for which much is owed Donald Trump. Trump’s denunciation of W Bush’s disastrous foreign policy is another signal service to the nation and to conservatives who no longer need pretend it was anything else but catastrophic”

    Trump supported the invasion of Iraq.

    http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/2002-interview-contradicts-trump-early-opposition-iraq-war-n521406

    “Trump will win the presidency by correctly tying traitorous foreign fund-raising connections (Iranian and other Mohammedan groups) around the neck of the inept wife of Bill Clinton.”

    Trump has been the one Republican candidate that Clinton has consistently beaten in election polls.

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html#polls

    Trump is a man of immense ignorance and vanity who has managed the feat of convincing a large number of Americans that he is against illegal aliens after a career of hiring illegal aliens and supporting open borders:

  6. Here is some insightful commentary about why folks support Trump from the New Yorker.

    Date: Sun, 21 Feb 2016 19:16:02 -0500
    Subject: THE NEW YORKER article
    From:
    To:
    >
    > “Who is Donald Trump?” The better question may be, “What is Donald Trump?” The answer? A giant middle finger from average Americans to the political and media establishment.
    > Some Trump supporters are like the 60s white girls who dated black guys just to annoy their parents. But most Trump supporters have simply had it with the Demo-socialists and the “Republicans In Name Only.” They know there isn’t a dime’s worth of difference between Hillary Rodham and Jeb Bush, and only a few cents worth between Rodham and the other GOP candidates.
    > Ben Carson is not an “establishment” candidate, but the Clinton machine would pulverize Carson; and the somewhat rebellious Ted Cruz will (justifiably so) be tied up with natural born citizen lawsuits (as might Marco Rubio). The Trump supporters figure they may as well have some fun tossing Molotov cocktails at Wall Street and Georgetown while they watch the nation collapse. Besides – lightning might strike, Trump might get elected, and he might actually fix a few things. Stranger things have happened (the nation elected an[islamo-]Marxist in 2008 and Bruce Jenner now wears designer dresses.)
    > Millions of conservatives are justifiably furious. They gave the Republicans control of the House in 2010 and control of the Senate in 2014, and have seen them govern no differently than Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid. Yet those same voters are supposed to trust the GOP in 2016? Why?
    > Trump did not come from out of nowhere. His candidacy was created by the last six years of Republican failures.
    > No reasonable person can believe that any of the establishment candidates [dems or reps] will slash federal spending, rein in the Federal Reserve, cut burdensome business regulations, reform the tax code, or eliminate useless federal departments (the Departments of Education, Housing and Urban Development, Energy, etc.). Even Ronald Reagan was unable to eliminate the Department of Education. (Of course, getting shot at tends to make a person less of a risk-taker.) No reasonable person can believe that any of the nation’s major problems will be solved by Rodham, Bush, and the other dishers of donkey fazoo now eagerly eating corn in Iowa and pancakes in New Hampshire.
    > Many Americans, and especially Trump supporters, have had it with:
    > · Anyone named Bush
    > · Anyone named Clinton
    > · Anyone who’s held political office
    > · Political correctness
    > · Illegal immigration
    > · Massive unemployment
    > · Phony “official” unemployment and inflation figures
    > · Welfare waste and fraud
    > · People faking disabilities to go on the dole
    > · VA waiting lists
    > · TSA airport groping
    > · ObamaCare
    > · The Federal Reserve’s money-printing schemes
    > · Wall Street crooks like Jon Corzine
    > · Michelle Obama’s vacations
    > · Michelle Obama’s food police
    > · Barack Obama’s golf
    > · Barack Obama’s arrogant and condescending lectures
    > · Barack Obama’s criticism/hatred of America
    > · Valerie Jarrett
    > · “Holiday trees”
    > · Hollywood hypocrites
    > · Global warming nonsense
    > · Cop killers
    > · Gun confiscation threats
    > · Stagnant wages
    > · Boys in girls’ bathrooms
    > · Whiny, spoiled college students who can’t even place the Civil War in the correct century… and that’s just the short list.
    >
    > Trump supporters believe that no Democrat wants to address these issues, and that few Republicans have the courage to address these issues. They certainly know that none of the establishment candidates are better than barely listening to them, and Trump is their way of saying, “Screw you, Hillary Rodham Rove Bush!” The more the talking head political pundits insult the Trump supporters, the more supporters he gains. (The only pundits who seem to understand what is going on are Democrats Doug Schoen and Pat Caddell and Republican John LeBoutillier. All the others argue that the voters will eventually “come to their senses” and support an establishment candidate.)
    >
    > But America does not need a tune-up at the same old garage. It needs a new engine installed by experts – and neither Rodham nor Bush are mechanics with the skills or experience to install it. Hillary Rodham is not a mechanic; she merely manages a garage her philandering husband abandoned. Jeb Bush is not a mechanic; he merely inherited a garage. Granted, Trump is also not a mechanic, but he knows where to find the best ones to work in his garage. He won’t hire his brother-in-law or someone to whom he owes a favor; he will hire someone who lives and breathes cars.
    >
    > “How dare they revolt!” the “elites” are bellowing. Well, the citizens are daring to revolt, and the RINOs had better get used to it. “But Trump will hand the election to Clinton!” That is what the Karl Rove-types want people to believe, just as the leftist media eagerly shoved “Maverick” McCain down GOP throats in 2008 – knowing he would lose to Obama. But even if Trump loses and Rodham wins, she would not be dramatically different than Bush or most of his fellow candidates. They would be nothing more than caretakers, not working to restore America’s greatness but merely presiding over the collapse of a massively in-debt nation. A nation can perhaps survive open borders; a nation can perhaps survive a generous welfare system. But no nation can survive both – and there is little evidence that the establishment candidates of either party understand that. The United States cannot forever continue on the path it is on. At some point it will be destroyed by its debt.
    >
    > Yes, Trump speaks like a bull wander[ing] through a china shop, but the truth is that the borders do need to be sealed; we cannot afford to feed, house, and clothe 200,000 Syrian immigrants for decades (even if we get inordinately lucky and none of them are ISIS infiltrators or Syed Farook wannabes); the world is at war with radical Islamists; all the world’s glaciers are not melting; and Rosie O’Donnell is a fat pig.
    >
    > Is Trump the perfect candidate? Of course not. Neither was Ronald Reagan. But unless we close our borders and restrict immigration, all the other issues are irrelevant. One terrorist blowing up a bridge or a tunnel could kill thousands. One jihadist poisoning a city’s water supply could kill tens of thousands. One electromagnetic pulse attack from a single Iranian nuclear device could kill tens of millions. Faced with those possibilities, most Americans probably don’t care that Trump relied on eminent domain to grab up a final quarter acre of
    > property for a hotel, or that he boils the blood of the Muslim Brotherhood thugs running the Council on American-Islamic Relations. While Attorney General Loretta Lynch’s greatest fear is someone giving a Muslim a dirty look, most Americans are more worried about being gunned down at a shopping mall by a crazed [islamic] lunatic who treats his prayer mat better than his three wives and who thinks 72 virgins are waiting for him in paradise.
    >
    > The establishment is frightened to death that Trump will win, but not because they believe he will harm the nation. They are afraid he will upset their taxpayer-subsidized apple carts. While Obama threatens to veto legislation that spends too little, they worry that Trump will veto legislation that spends too much.
    >
    > You can be certain that if an establishment candidate wins in November 2016, … [their] cabinet positions will be filled with the same people we’ve seen before. The washed-up has-beens of the Clinton and Bush administrations will be back in charge. The hacks from Goldman Sachs will continue to call the shots. Whether it is Bush’s Karl Rove or Clinton’s John Podesta, who makes the decisions in the White House will matter little. If the establishment wins, America loses.
    >
    > We are that close to losing it all……. >
    >
    > John (Jack) McCandless
    > “You will become way less concerned with what other people think of you when you realize how seldom they do.”
    > David Foster Wallace

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