We are beginning to see a bounce for Trump post the Republican Convention. CNN shows Trump with a ten point swing with Trump now leading 48-45. That 48 could be ominous for Clinton since that is probably a sign of solidifying Republican support for Trump. Morning Consult shows Trump leading by four, 44-40. In the CNN poll if the Greens and the Libertarians are included, Trump is ahead by five. Nate Silver at 538 now is predicting a Trump win at 56.7%.
Presumably Clinton will have a convention bounce, but this has to be disheartening for her. Many pundits were predicting no bounce for Trump from his convention, and Hillary has outspent Trump something like fifteen to one, only to find herself going into her convention behind.