Election Night Open Thread

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As usual, TAC will have an open thread for election night.  The two main issues to be decided are which party will control the House and which will control the Senate.  Polls indicate that the Democrats are favored to take control of the House while the Republicans are favored to retain control of the Senate.  We shall see.  Since 2016 I have been growing increasingly skeptical of polls.  The days of the phone poll may be coming to an end as pollsters have to make thousands of calls to get one person consenting to be polled.

Things to watch for tonight: If the GOP takes the Senate seat in Indiana they are on their way to increasing their margin in the Senate.  How many Congressional seats do the Republicans lose in Pennsylvania?  The court ordered gerrymander by the Democrat controlled State Supreme Court in Pennsylvania was an enormous gift to Democrat efforts to retake the House.  Florida should give us a clue as to whether we are looking at a Blue Wave or a Red Tide.  Control of the House could well come down to elections in California in which case we probably won’t know for at least a week as California specializes in the slow counting of ballots and in close elections mailed ballots can count so long as they are postmarked by election day.  A majority of Californians, incredibly, vote via snail male.  As usual ignore exit polls that have a worse track record of prediction than flipping a coin.

Updates:

7:35 AM (CST)-Voted at 7:00 AM in my small town.  The polling place is at the Catholic Parish Hall.  I would describe the turnout thus far as heavy, perhaps very heavy for a midterm.  I would note this is a strongly Republican area.

5:00PM (CST)-Home early from the law mines.  Lots of chatter about good vote totals for the GOP coming out of Florida.  We will see soon enough.

6:00PM (CST)-Early returns in the Indiana Senate race look good for the Republican challenger Braun in Indiana.  Republican votes are overperforming in rural areas over previous midterms.

6:53PM (CST)-I think Braun is winning the Senate contest in Indiana against Donnelly.  That would be a net Republican gain.

7:00PM (CST)-JB Pritzker, the world’s dumbest billionaire, will be the next governor of Illinois.  A statehouse pickup for the Democrats.

7:40PM (CST)-Kentucky 06 was thought to be a bellwether for House control.  It looks like the Republican incumbent is going to hold on against a tough challenge.

7:44PM (CST)-ABC just called the Senate race in Indiana for the Republican challenger Braun.

7:50PM (CST)-Still early but Republican challenger James leads Democrat incumbent Stabenow in the Michigan Senate race.

8:00PM (CST)-Marsha Blackburn has won the Senate race in Tennessee, and that is a Republican hold.

8:32PM (CST)-Fox calls the House for the Democrats.  Of course the margin is unknown.  If the Democrats take the House with a narrow margin, I think ultimately this will be good for Trump in 2020.

8:48PM (CST)-I am calling the Senate race in Florida for Rick Scott, the Republican challenger.  There are just not enough votes still outstanding, and likely to go to Nelson, to overcome Scott’s narrow lead.  That is the second Republican gain in the Senate.

8:54PM (CST)-North Dakota Senate race is a massacre for the incumbent.  Cramer the Republican challenger takes it, and that is the third Republican gain in the Senate.

9:15PM (CST)-Ted Cruz has won re-election in Texas.  The Democrats flushed over one hundred million down the toilet on Beto-mania.

9:20PM (CST)-Fox calls the Senate for the Republicans.

9:50PM (CST)-In the Senate Missouri race I think SkyQueen has outstayed her welcome in the ShowMe State and that the Republican challenger Josh Hawley has won.  That would be the fourth Republican gain.

10:00PM (CST)-Ron DeSantis holds the Florida statehouse for the GOP.

10:12PM (CST)-Fox calls it for Hawley in Missouri.

Well, I have court early tomorrow so I will be calling it a night.  A split decision as was predicted.  With the Republicans increasing their margin in the Senate, the Trump judge machine will roll on, and that may be the most important result of the night.  All in all not a bad night for the GOP considering the usual midterm losses.  For example, in Reagan’s first midterm the Republicans lost 26 seats in the House, dropping to 166 seats, and in the Senate the Democrats gained one seat. In 1986, Reagan’s final midterm, the Republicans lost 5 seats in the House and 8 in the Senate.  In Obama’s first midterm in 2010 the GOP gained 63 seats in the House and 8 seats in the Senate.  In Obama’s final midterm in 2014 the GOP gained 13 seats in the House and 9 seats in the Senate.  Taking that into consideration that history I am inviting the ladies of Abba to give a partial victory dance.

 

 

 

 

Much more analysis tomorrow.

Morning Update:

4:30AM(CST)-In the Senate, the Republican challenger Rosendale leads incumbent Tester in Montana with 90% of the ballots in.  In Arizona, Republican McSally continues to hold a lead over Democrat Sinema with 98% of the ballots counted.  In Nevada, Republican Dean Heller has lost his re-election bid.  If all this holds up, and assuming the Republican wins in the Mississippi run-off, that would give the next Senate the composition of 55 Republicans to 45 Democrats and Independents who caucus with the Democrats.

4:55AM(CST)-In Statehouses the Republicans lost seven to the Democrats.

4:55AM(CST)-The House right now is 220 Democrats-194 Republicans with 21 races still outstanding.

Overall a good night for the Democrats, with the exception of the Senate where they got shellacked.  Except for the Senate this was a fairly typical midterm result.

 

More to explorer

70 Comments

  1. A red day.. and the sun rises.
    Republicans keep the House.
    If by chance Democrats win the House, they obstruct for two years and are then crushed. For if they slightly win the House they’ll say it’s a mandate, and of course it’s not..
    Trump would much rather get things done in the next 2 years, but if necessary will wait for a big crush in two.

    My great hope is that the Democratic Party learns from its misdeeds and changes its ways. Let’s pray the Democrats are crushed today. And let’s pray especially for our black brothers and sisters in Pennsylvania that they be released from Democratic mental slavery.

  2. Whoever wins the House or Senate, we will continue to have a Congress at loggerheads with the President, because Trump is a party unto himself. So as far as legislation goes, there would be no change. A Democratic House might start a bunch of impeachments, but they would not amount to anything, since they would die in the Republican Senate. What really COULD change is the level of vitriol. Honestly, if you want to prevent the Democrats winning the Presidency in 2020, it might be better for them to win the House in 2018; I think they might turn off a lot of voters with their nastiness, and they would inspire a bigger Republican turnout in 2020.

  3. I apologize in advance.

    A vote for a democrat is a vote for abortion, class envy/hate, corruption, higher taxes, incompetence, more ruinous regulations.

    If the rats win, the question is “When will the economy recover? The first-pass answer is ‘never.'”

    Vote republican.

  4. “Let’s pray the Democrats are crushed today. And let’s pray especially for our black brothers and sisters in Pennsylvania that they be released from Democratic mental slavery.” -David WS

    Okay. Now help us over here;
    Please add a win for John James in Michigan.
    He us still a semi-long shot, but with God’s help he might gain the seat.

    Bombard Heaven with these requests folks!!

  5. Also, if you haven’t seen this already: an older woman passed out at Trump’s Cape Girardeau MO rally last night. Trump paused for 7+ minutes while she was attended to, asked everyone to say a prayer for her, and the crowd broke into “Amazing Grace” at one point. The woman looked like she was smiling as she was carried out, so she’s probably going to be OK:

    https://twitchy.com/samj-3930/2018/11/06/this-is-the-america-i-love-watch-how-president-trump-and-the-crowd-react-when-woman-faints-at-rally-video/

    Now THAT’s what I call Deplorable…. in the good sense 🙂

  6. OK, since everyone here seems to take it for granted that the outcome of this election is REALLY important, I have a few questions.

    1. Are you opposed to Democrats winning the House because they are bad people and should be punished (or at least should not be singled out for rare honors), or because you think this will allow them to do bad things to the country? You can say both, but you need to understand that these two reasons are NOT THE SAME.
    2. If you are concerned they would do bad things to the country if elected, what bad things do you think they could do with a Republican President and a (presumably) Republican Senate? They could propose bad laws, but these would get shot down. They could prevent good laws, but they could probably find enough Republicans to cooperate in shooting those down even without winning the House. They could make offensive speeches and spread evil ideas, but they never stopped doing that.

  7. At 10:30am, I just finished voting in my suburban Texas precinct.
    I’d say turnout was very heavy– i waited in line for about an hour
    for my turn at one of the five voting machines.

    The County Clerk requires a count of the number of votes cast be
    posted every 2 hours on the front door of the polling place– at
    9:30am, 125 people had already cast their votes there.

  8. I pray the Dems lose today and the GOP retains control over the House and Senate because NOTHING is more likely to help our fellow citizens let go of the fantasy that they can get a redo on 2016. If the GOP is in control, Dems won’t have any choice but to focus on getting President Trump out of office in 2020 and that refocus would be a good thing for everyone.

  9. Elaine Krewer.

    The description of the event that took place.. prayer and hymn… brought a tear to my eye.
    Thanks.

  10. Howard,
    The Senate is really important to me-six year terms and the Republicans should have the major advantage this year. If they lose the House it won’t be devastating.

  11. Just a reminder for all voters especially the Christians…. We are judged as a nation by these passages in the Bible… There are natural law(God’s law) and man’s law where natural law always supercedes man’s law. Always remember remember that the highest law are Love God and thy neighbor…. Please read on… Thanks!

    “…the moral test of government is how that government treats those who are in the dawn of life, the children; those who are in the twilight of life, the elderly; those who are in the shadows of life; the sick, the needy and the handicapped. ” ~Last Speech of Hubert H. Humphrey Matthew 25:31-46

    THE JUDGEMENT OF THE NATIONS.

    31 “When the Son of Man comes in his glory, and all the angels with him, he will sit upon his glorious throne, 32 and all the nations* will be assembled before him. And he will separate them one from another, as a shepherd separates the sheep from the goats. 33 He will place the sheep on his right and the goats on his left. 34 Then the king will say to those on his right, ‘Come, you who are blessed by my Father. Inherit the kingdom prepared for you from the foundation of the world. 35 For I was hungry and you gave me food, I was thirsty and you gave me drink, A STRANGER AND YOU WELCOMED ME, 36 naked and you clothed me, ill and you cared for me, in prison and you visited me.’ 37 Then the righteous* will answer him and say, ‘Lord, when did we see you hungry and feed you, or thirsty and give you drink? 38 WHEN DID WE SEE YOU A STRANGER AND WELCOMED YOU, or naked and clothe you? 39 When did we see you ill or in prison, and visit you?’ 40 And the king will say to them in reply, ‘AMEN, I SAY TO YOU, WHATEVER YOU DID FOR ONE OF THESE LEAST BROTHERS OF MINE, YOU DID IT FOR ME.’ 41 Then he will say to those on his left, ‘Depart from me, you accursed, into the eternal fire prepared for the devil and his angels. 42 For I was hungry and you gave me no food, I was thirsty and you gave me no drink, 43 A STRANGER AND YOU GAVE ME NO WELCOME, naked and you gave me no clothing, ill and in prison, and you did not care for me.’ 44 Then they will answer and say, ‘Lord, when did we see you hungry or thirsty or a stranger or naked or ill or in prison, and not minister to your needs?’ 45 He will answer them, ‘AMEN, I SAY TO YOU, WHAT YOU DID NOT DO FOR ONE OF THESE LEAST ONES, YOU DID NOT DO FOR ME.’ 46 And these will go off to eternal punishment, but the righteous to eternal life.”

  12. ““…the moral test of government is how that government treats those who are in the dawn of life, the children; those who are in the twilight of life, the elderly; those who are in the shadows of life; the sick, the needy and the handicapped. ” ~Last Speech of Hubert H. Humphrey Matthew 25:31-46

    Ironic that Humphrey was a pro-abort

    https://www.nytimes.com/1976/04/25/archives/humphrey-offers-views-on-abortion.html

    For me the moral test of any government is how much it infringes on the freedom of its people.

  13. @Ken — I agree about the Senate, but it seems to be pretty much out of play. A 3/5 super-majority is ENTIRELY out of play, and that would be necessary to entertain the impeachment fantasies of the left.

  14. What I mean by freedom was neatly summed up by Lincoln:

    “The world has never had a good definition of the word liberty, and the American people, just now, are much in want of one. We all declare for liberty; but in using the same word we do not all mean the same thing. With some the word liberty may mean for each man to do as he pleases with himself, and the product of his labor; while with others the same word may mean for some men to do as they please with other men, and the product of other men’s labor. Here are two, not only different, but incompatable [sic] things, called by the same name — liberty. And it follows that each of the things is, by the respective parties, called by two different and incompatable [sic] names — liberty and tyranny.”

    “The shepherd drives the wolf from the sheep’s throat, for which the sheep thanks the shepherd as his liberator, while the wolf denounces him for the same act as the destroyer of liberty, especially as the sheep was a black one. Plainly the sheep and the wolf are not agreed upon a definition of the word liberty; and precisely the same difference prevails to-day among us human creatures, even in the North, and all professing to love liberty. Hence we behold the processes by which thousands are daily passing from under the yoke of bondage, hailed by some as the advance of liberty, and bewailed by others as the destruction of all liberty.”

  15. So why does the guy calling himself Holy King capitalize this and not the rest of the Scripture passage?

    A STRANGER AND YOU WELCOMED ME,

    We should welcome the terrorists and drug lords who have embedded themselves in that caravan coming up from Mexico? Free illegal immigration to all? What are you saying here?

  16. There are natural law(God’s law) and man’s law where natural law always supercedes man’s law. Always remember remember that the highest law are Love God and thy neighbor

    Does that also apply to man’s law allowing the murder of unborn children? Just askin’, ‘holey king.’

  17. Michigan is tight…but John James is ahead of D. Stabenow.
    Not over, however it’s looking possible!!
    David WS….. thanks…. another Hail Mary please!!

  18. Trump is not a bad person. He is running this country like a business not like a politician.
    That’s exactly what we need

  19. The Texas Senate race is unusually close. Ted Cruz took Beto O’Rourke to lightly early & in the middle of the campaign. If Ted loses, it was too little too late when he realized he was in a dog fight.

  20. @JEANNE BERGERON — I have to disagree with just about everything you said. In particular, I’m no longer convinced that Trump is a businessman. He lacks focus; the turnover in his inner circle shows he does a terrible job of evaluating talent, assembling a team, setting priorities, and getting everyone to work towards those priorities; and he undercuts his own team at practically every opportunity, while still expecting them to give 100% for him. I would not expect him to understand the military or international diplomacy, because he has zero experience with them, but I *would* expect him to have better management skills if he were a real businessman, instead of merely the largest stockholder. In terms of Treasure Island, he is Squire Trelawney, not Captain Smollett.

  21. Here’s the thing: The Democrats have been doing this all wrong since 2016. They should have made a big deal about how they would support Trump wherever they could for the good of the country. That would make them like emotionally well-balanced patriots, and it would mean any Trump failures were in spite of their good will, not due to their opposition; Trump would have no one to blame but himself. Instead, they’ve acted like a bunch of nuts who would gladly see the country burn just to get at their political enemies. Expect to see them do this even more after winning the House. This has an excellent chance of blowing up in their faces.

  22. As we speak, the Republicans have won 195 seats and are leading in 13 others. Some of the 13 they will lose legitimately, and in some Democratic officials will ‘find’ ‘misplaced’ ballots. Three Senate seats are outstanding. One has to be decided by a runoff the Democrats will likely lose. One (given the number of ballots outstanding), the Democrats may win legitimately. It’s doubtful the Democrats will win Arizona on the square at this point (Sinema would have to win 70% of the uncounted ballots), but it’s close enough to steal. Bank on that happening if they draw the right judge.

  23. I haven’t seen all of the national picture. My oldest is our political junkie and will update me in a few. It looks like a typical midterm. The Republicans kept the Senate. It was not a repeat of the 1994 stampede that was predicted earlier this year (for the Democrats that is). The Senate was more important to keep, and that seems to be where much of Trump’s focus was. There were some setbacks for the Democrats. Here in the Buckeye state, pundits predicted a shift to the Blue. In the end, with the exception of Sherrod Brown (who is very popular and was opposed by one of the worst candidates I’ve ever seen), almost everything went Republican. Even Troy Balderson, who barely campaigned (I knew he was running because Dan O’Connor was running ads about him), ended up winning. As did Mike Dewine for Governor. As did almost every other major elected office with only a few exceptions. My son said the same happened in Florida. And both of these prize swing states going full GOP – if true – is a setback for the Democrats, especially with 2020 on their minds. But overall, it’s to be expected. The press will try to make it sound like the greatest political defeat since Hastings. They will act as if it’s never happened before, so it must be because of Trump (while 2010, we were told had nothing to do with Obama). But fact is, it shows American politics as usual. Which, in the “Era of Trump”, might be the biggest news story of them all.

  24. The Democrats will have > 226 seats in the House (better than the Republican mean of the period running from 1995 to 2007), better than one might have expected 3 months ago. They might have as few as 45 in the Senate, and that would have seemed exceedingly unlikely 3 months ago. Regrettable that some interesting characters will likely not be returning to Congress (David Brat, Mia Love, Dana Rohrbacher). New Jersey voters have demonstrated that what you need to win a U.S. Senate contest therein is a ‘D’ after your name and a pulse beat.

    Minnesota voters, a great many of whom were indubitably among those insisting Brett Kavanaugh’s ‘history’ with Christine Blasey made him unsuitable for high office, have turned over the position of Attorney-General to a quondam Farrakhan votary with a credible charge of domestic violence hanging over his head. His primary line of business, when he practiced law, was criminal defense, so of course, one of his bugaboos is ‘mass incarceration’, which is code for a complaint that the criminal justice system allocates some its charges to punishment rather than social work. Florida dodged a bullet, refusing (by a wafer-thin plurality) to turn the Governor’s chair over to a Black Lives Matter pest whose adult work history has been entirely taken up with political offices. The Republicans managed to retain (just barely) the Governorship of Georgia, contra a candidate who might be personally more impressive than the shmuck in Florida, but whose portfolio of complaints include….’mass incarceration’.

    A low level New York pol who was no great shakes ethically once offered that the Cuomos were notable for their indifference to the courtesies working politicians ordinarily extend to each other in New York (“they’ve always been thugs at heart”). Andrew Cuomo manages to display all of his father’s vices and none of his father’s virtues. He won in a landslide. And so it goes.

  25. I haven’t seen all of the national picture. My oldest is our political junkie and will update me in a few. It looks like a typical midterm.

    Ir isn’t. They did atypically well in the House races. They just didn’t quite score a blowout of the sort you saw in 1974, 1994, or 2010. However, this was conjoined to losing ground in the Senate. The Republicans not only retained the Senate, but it appears the number of seats they win may be near the upper-bound of what any analyst thought possible.

  26. Congress will be free of Paul Ryan, John McCain, and Jeff Flake. Their legacy is a continued failure to address border control.

  27. Art, typical in the sense that it didn’t all go the president’s way. Which is usual for first midterms. Though the pick up in the Senate is unusual, and I can’t help but think it had to do with Kavanaugh. That the Democrats did well enough in the House, but lost in the Senate when that so seldom happens, suggests something unusual behind it all. Plus, again, we’ll have to look at Texas/Florida/Ohio to see the overall national picture. But in the snapshot, it’s what Americans typically do, and that’s keep one particular group or person from having too much power. Plus it now puts some of the burden of responsibility on the Democrats.

  28. Agree with Art Deco:

    The Big Plus: No more Flake (aptly named), McCain (sullen, wrathful), Ryan (???). God is good! Next, are Senate holds. It was a night for the women.

    The idiots running the House will beclown themselves for two years, it is all sound and fury meaning nothing.

    Too many of our fellow Americas are low-IQ, brainwashed zombies.

  29. I confess I didn’t see last night’s breathless election coverage. Because TV had several top-ranked college basketball teams playing each other; and I didn’t want to shoot my TV set. .

    SNL caricatured wounded warrior Richard Crenshaw and he won a TX House seat.

    Beetle O’Rourke spent $69 or $70 million of other people’s money and lost.

    Well, well, well. Magic man Barack Hussein Obama campaigned for the following losing D candidates: Stacy Abrams, Richard Cordray, Joe Donnelly (incumbent, a cousin of my cousin Bill, who I knew as a boy), and Andrew Gillum. He still has the “magic.”

  30. The Democrat leadership will likely attempt to prevent their members voting for impeachment. However the Democrat Left will be pushing for it. I expect an impeachment vote to occur with enough Democrats voting with Republicans to defeat it. The Democrats may well rue getting control of the House when they have zip chance of passing any legislation, due to the Senate and Trump’s veto pen. In regard to the House Trump will attempt, or at least be seen to attempt, to work with the Democrats. When that crashes and burns Trump will run against the do-nothing House in 2020.

  31. “SNL caricatured wounded warrior Richard Crenshaw and he won a TX House seat.”

    I can imagine Crenshaw running for the Senate after Trump appoints Cruz to fill Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s seat on the Supreme Court! Laugh at that SNL!

  32. When the Republicans had control of both chambers, they proved incapable of accomplishing anything worthwhile, so losing the House is less of a blow than it would appear. The new chairman of the House Judiciary Committee (Jerrold Nadler) has long been a manifestation of the Democratic Party’s Id, so I’m expecting clownishness from that Committee. Since no salutary policy changes will be forthcoming from this Congress, the next best thing is for the minivan crowd to get a look at what’s under the rock, so to speak. Nadler’s just the man to serve ’em a plate o’ creepy-crawlies, New Yawk brusque.

  33. The loss of te House of Reps was expected.

    He will be nearly as bad as Flake. Mitt Romney elected to Senate seriously harshes my buzz. SIGH

  34. Two good articles over at Crisis today:

    point:

    America needs a two-party system in which both parties recognize certain basic truths about human nature and the social order. America has avoided the pitfalls of European governance, with its radicalized politics and its dying churches, by maintaining a political center in which compromise is possible because both sides accept the central role of faith, family, and freedom.

    counterpoint:

    [W]e may only make sense of the hysterical tone of contemporary discourse by admitting that the divide which runs through America is essentially a religious one, and that divide would exist regardless of whether or not the Donald were around to highlight it.

    One side is animated by a vision of man as a limitless, self-creating individual entitled to go anywhere, and become anything: “At the heart of liberty is the right to define one’s own concept of existence, of meaning, of the universe, and of the mystery of human life,” as the Supreme Court famously put it. What motivates the other side is a conception of man as a being both finite and fallen, a being obliged to be grateful to the particular culture and traditions which nurtured him, and called to seek his place in a cosmic order ordained by God. Put another way, the Catholic who voted for Clinton does not disagree with the Catholic who voted for Trump simply about finer points of policy, or about political principles, or even about particular points of the Catechism. Rather, the disagreement stems from mutually exclusive ideas about what it means to be Christian. And these mutually exclusive ideas about what it means to be Christian are bound up with mutually exclusive ideas about what it means to be human.[emph add.]

  35. No clue why Mitt Romney wants that job. Lots else to do with your time than to knock about Capitol Hill in your seventies. Man has 20 grandchildren.

  36. And for the Democratic donors unawares of the law of diminishing returns who gave Beto $69 million in campaign cash they didn’t give Bill Nelson or Kristen Sinema or John Tester, the late Jane Wyman offers a few words at 1:11

  37. “The Democrats flushed over one hundred million down the toilet on Beto-mania.“

    In a state like Texas, a well-known republican incumbent like Cruz should have won by a much larger margin, particularly against someone as hard left as the Cultural Appropriator. I think it demonstrates just how unelectable someone like Cruz really is. Barring some miracle Ted has gone as far as he’ll go in terms of elected office.

  38. “Barring some miracle Ted has gone as far as he’ll go in terms of elected office.”

    The next stop for him is the Supreme Court. “Lyin Ted”, as Trump referred to him, may be the longest lasting legacy of President Donald Trump.

  39. Don, here’s the problem with Ted as a SCOTUS pick, confirmation would be a bit of a problem. He has burned a lot of bridges in the Senate, especially within his own party. It doesn’t matter whether or not he was on the side of the Angels or not. I think Barrett would have a better chance of getting confirmed than Cruz.

    McConnell has been good in sheparding Trump’s judicial picks, but he might see carrying the water for Cruz might be a bridge too far.

  40. Maybe Sessions was unsuited for the position, maybe not. Either way, this is more evidence that Trump is a crappy manager. Trump nominated Sessions for the job, which removed a Republican from the Senate; the GOP lost that seat when Roy Moore lost to Doug Jones. The loss of a seat in the Senate is a high price to pay, whether for being a poor judge of talent or for being unable to work and play well with others. And now Trump has to go out and find the most qualified person who is willing to take the job while still knowing that Trump will in no wise hesitate to stab him in the back

  41. “If you won’t stand with [foreign nation], I won’t stand with you.” That’s a fine position for someone running for office in [foreign nation], but that sort of unconditional commitment to someone else’s secular order SHOULD, at a minimum, disqualify one from votes for office here. It certainly does not display the correct priorities, or the wisdom for that matter, that should be expected of a nominee to the Supreme Court.

  42. With the margin in the Senate now I think Trump would have no problem getting Cruz through. It also helps that he has a brilliant legal mind, as his string of victories at the Supreme Court earlier in his career demonstrates.

  43. Ted could be the sacrificial lamb – then follow up with Barrett. Win-win: the Dems will have to burn what little civility capital they have left trying to get rid of Ted, with nothing left over to spend on Barrett, or Ted gets on the SCOTUS. The only thing that would make it perfect is if Ruth Buzzy Ginsberg holds on until Sept 2020, so the circus can begin right in time for election day.

  44. Cmatt, you may very well be right. However, I think with Ted’s personality he could get rattled in the confirmation hearings. And he wouldn’t only have problems with the democrats, but with some fellow republicans like McConnell.

    While Cruz certainly has the legal expertise to qualify for the Supreme Court and is certainly philosophically originalist, I don’t think his personality makes him a great fit for the Court. That being said, I would certainly support his confirmation if he were to get nominated.

  45. “Maybe Sessions was unsuited for the position, maybe not.”

    To use your term he was a crappy manager of the Justice Department, and everyone knew it. He was a former US attorney before he was a Senator so Trump had every reason to think he could handle it. Sessions had been a strong and early supporter of Trump and he requested the job. Trump naturally assumed that in Alabama the local GOP would not manage to lose an election. If Alabama is not a safe state, then no Republican President can ever pick a Republican Senator to hold a cabinet position.

  46. @Donald R. McClarey — I try not to look too closely at the sausage factory, but even so I can’t help but notice that Trump has had a series of divorces — not only from actual wives, but also from members of his inner circle. Maybe all those divorces were the fault of the other parties exclusively. MAYBE NOT.

    There are sausages and there are sausages. The sausage labeled “Ted Cruz” seems to have more nastiness in it than a Vienna sausage. Maybe he could get in; maybe he could persuade the other justice; maybe he could win “Dancing with the Stars” and Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest. I won’t be waving pom-poms for him regardless.

  47. “I try not to look too closely at the sausage factory, but even so I can’t help but notice that Trump has had a series of divorces — not only from actual wives, but also from members of his inner circle.”

    That has bupkis to do with the simple fact that Sessions was incompetent at his job. The Justice Department is a hive of left wing activists and Sessions was unable to do anything about it. As for Cruz, as long as the Republicans are in the majority he will get through when, and if, he is nominated, bank on it.

  48. Maintaining and adding to their majority in the Senate was a greater victory for the GOP than taking back the House was for the Democrats.

  49. The sausage labeled “Ted Cruz” seems to have more nastiness in it than a Vienna sausage.

    There is no evidence that Ted Cruz is an unpleasant individual at all. He doesn’t have any known disputes with his relatives (who are a motley collection) or his in-laws. He’s been married for 17 years and never been fired from any position he’s held. The one person who knows him socially who despises him is a snotty television script writer who hasn’t seen hide nor hare of him since 1989. Robert Dole was famous for his staff turnover; Cruz isn’t. The people who have it in for him have been AM McConnell, John Boehner, and their respective camarillas. Fools tend to resent people whose bearing reminds them they are fools and Cruz has a history of speaking in plain language about their betrayals of public trust.

  50. If Alabama is not a safe state, then no Republican President can ever pick a Republican Senator to hold a cabinet position.

    Quite a few Republican members of Congress have no personal history in management. I believe as we speak a typical U.S. Attorney’s office employs fewer than 40 lawyers (and would have employed fewer than that at the time Sessions held the position 30 years ago), so he would have been on something of a learning curve.

  51. Ted also has the disadvantage of having a perpetually smarmy/snarky/smug appearance that’s probably not his fault. I’m now represented in the House by a 42 year old gentleman who looks like he just graduated from high school.

  52. Thou shalt not kill in stealth-premeditated murder.
    The sovereignty and the dignity of the human person who has committed premeditated murder is obliterated by denying the murderer Justice. Only when the murderer of homicide in the first degree repents of his crime and accepts the consequences for premeditated murder can he again acknowledge his own human dignity and his own sovereignty.
    The murderer of homicide in the first degree must forgive himself and expire. A living murder of homicide in the first degree is fooling and cheating himself, as he has not forgiven himself nor has he fully acknowledged the gravity of his crime against the God of life.
    Theology is the science of God. Philosophy is the science of man. The theologian, Germain Grisez crossed the line and taught philosophy as theology when he claimed that the human dignity of the sovereign personhood of man prohibited the death penalty for murder in stealth. Aside from the fact that our Lord Jesus Christ suffered the death penalty for blasphemy of which He was indeed innocent, philosophy taught as theology places all men under the state for homicide in stealth, placing the state as equal to God. Placing the state as the final arbiter of the perfect Justice of God removes God as the God of life. Removing God as the God of Life from the public square paves the way for the American gulag, the power of the state to execute the death penalty on any sovereign person. If the perpetrator of homicide in stealth can live, then it is a forgone fact that any innocent sovereign person can be put to death at the whim of the almighty state.
    The state is a community of people whose sovereign personhood endowed by “their Creator” institutes the state. A state gone awry by ignoring God’s Justice slips into becoming a gulag, by being a community of individuals without the Supreme Sovereign Being, God. A state without God is better known as atheistic communism. The ideology of atheistic communism has brought about the murder of hundreds of millions of innocent persons in the last century and the number is rising in China, Venezuela, Cuba.
    Human dignity is the key being used to infiltrate the truth of the sovereign person to addict himself to the vice of lust and commit sodomy, contraception, transgenderism, the neutering of minor children and abortion. The truth is that sovereign personhood and human dignity are abused in these miscarriages of Justice.
    When the state promotes the little misconception that human dignity is more important than truth and Justice and the murderer is allowed to continue to enjoy his evil power over life and death, the state encourages the abuse of sovereign personhood and human dignity.
    Mary De Voe

  53. Atheism as an ideology may not be imposed by the civil government. It is not the function of the government to impose any ideology on any member of the state.
    In the case of Terry Schiavo, the state imposed atheism on her by denying Terry Schiavo the corporal works of mercy, that is, to feed the hungry. Terry Schiavo held the Catholic Faith, yet it was court ordered that she be denied food and hydration in violation of her Catholic faith and the corporal works of mercy to feed the hungry, thus imposing atheism on the sovereign personhood of the individual human being. Terry Schiavo died of starvation after eighteen days of agony.
    Again, it is not the function of the state to impose any ideology on any member of the state. It is a fact of the First Amendment’s anti-establishment principle.
    In abortion the state is imposing the ideology of atheism on the sovereign personhood of the unborn child, denying the newly begotten human being all of the corporal and spiritual works of mercy. The state is imposing its ideology of atheism and removing all freedom from him, his Life, his Liberty and his pursuit of his Happiness, his potential and his destiny. In addition, the state is imposing its ideology of atheism on the whole of “We, the people”; “We, the people” are our ancestors, our present generation and all future generations. All members of our human race are our future, our potential, our destiny, our future generations, our Posterity, our constitutional Posterity. See: The Preamble: “to secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our (constitutional) Posterity”
    Mary De Voe

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