The most accurate poll from the 2004 presidential election, the Investors Business Daily (IDB) poll, shows a phenomenal 20 point switch towards Senator McCain among Catholic voters . In the previous IDB tracking poll Senator Obama once held a commanding 11 point advantage among Catholic voters. In the latest tracking poll Senator McCain now has a nine (9) point lead among Catholic voters over Senator Obama. Senator McCain leads Senator Obama among Catholic voters 48% to 39%.
Speculation may be that the economic crisis has dissipated from the front pages as well as the Joe the Plumber drama that unveiled the redistributive policy of Senator Obama to America. But what I believe is the most influential aspect emanating from this interesting poll is that the recent spate of bishops coming out to in defense of the sanctity of life. Prelates such as Archbishop Chaput and Bishop Joseph Martino entering the national political arena and emphasizing that Catholics need to defend each person in all stages of life in addition to giving a correct interpretation of the USCCB’s Faithful Citizenship document. This may be the untold story of the election cycle thus far, Catholics understanding that the value of life trumpets all other issues.
Here are two (2) screen shots from the IDB poll. The first screen shot is only to show that the first column represents those voters leaning towards Senator Obama, the third column represents those voters leaning towards Senator McCain, and the third column represents those voters leaning ‘not sure’. The second screen shot shows those Catholic voters leaning in the respective columns.
This is the most recent IDB poll showing Senator McCain leading Senator Obama among Catholic voters 48% to 39% below in the red square.
These polls are fluid and many of us that defend life don’t take much particular interest in them. Though examining the variables behind the changing poll numbers do make for interesting water cooler talk. What we can take away from these numbers that there has been a shift towards Senator McCain and away from Senator Obama among Catholic voters. And that is an interesting development.