Faithful readers of this blog know that while I detest Trump and will not vote for him, I also believe that he likely will beat Clinton in the fall. Polling evidence is beginning to indicate this:
In Florida, Clinton leads Trump, 43 percent to 42 percent, while Sanders earned 44 percent to Trump’s 42 percent. While Clinton holds a 13-point advantage among Florida women — 48 percent to 35 percent — Trump’s lead among men is equally large, at 49 percent to 36 percent. Independent Florida voters are split, 39 percent to 39 percent, while along racial lines, white voters said they would vote for the Republican candidate 52 percent to 33 percent. Among nonwhite voters, 63 percent to 20 percent said they would vote for the Democrat. Clinton’s favorability in Florida is a net negative 20 points (37 percent to 57 percent), though Trump earned the same numbers. For Sanders, 43 percent said they had a favorable opinion of him, 41 percent unfavorable and 14 percent said they did not know enough to have an opinion.
In Ohio, registered voters preferred Trump to Clinton, 43 percent to 39 percent, while Sanders edged Trump 43 percent to 41 percent. Trump leads among men in Ohio, 51 percent to 36 percent, while women prefer Clinton in the state 43 percent to 36 percent. While 49 percent to 32 percent of white voters go for the Republican candidate, a whopping 76 percent to 14 percent of nonwhite voters said they will go for the Democratic candidate. Among voters ages 18 to 34, Clinton leads 43 percent to 39 percent, while voters older than 65 preferred Trump 46 percent to 40 percent. Among independents, 40 percent said they would back Trump and 37 percent would go for Clinton.
In Pennsylvania, Clinton leads 43 percent to 42 percent, mirroring the gender and racial gaps in the other swing states. Among women, Clinton leads 51 percent to 32 percent, while Trump leads with men 54 percent to 33 percent. Clinton holds a 7-point lead among voters ages 18 to 34 (49 percent to 42 percent), while Trump commands the same level of support among voters 65 and older. White voters said they would support the Republican candidate 48 percent to 37 percent, while nonwhite voters said they would support the Democrat, 74 percent to 14 percent.
Go here to read the rest. These are incredibly good numbers for Trump and incredibly bad numbers for Clinton. Trump has yet to unify Republicans behind him. He has received overall terrible press. He has been making his usual quota recently of crazed statements. He has zip ground game in place in states. In the face of that he is on the cusp of upsetting Clinton in three key states. Democrat operatives are already groping for extra strength Excedrin as they attempt to come up with a game plan against a candidate who seems to be immune to the usual rules governing politics.
This election hinges oddly on sudden possibilities like no other election I know of. ISIS, one of whose goals is producing disorder in non Islamic lands, could actually put Trump in the presidency if they saw him as more chaotic in the lng run, and they could do that by staging an attack in the US just prior to the election. Or Hillary could get indicted….another possble sudden event. Or Trump could lose by this weekly conflating of mega topics like taxes…with micro topics like Hillary as destroyer of Bill’s affair women for which no evidence seems needed by Trump. I prefer him only because I think he’ll defer the Supreme Court picks to Ryan et al….and because Al Sharpton will leave the country. If Sharpton would say aloud that black on black murders (c.4400 a year) is a worse problem than police shootings of innocent blacks ( probably under 30 a year at the worst if many go unfound )….then I’d like him to stay. And if he connected black ghetto violence to few fathers vowing til death to one woman…and to rap culture….then I’d urge the Nobel prize for him….or for our Bishops if they would say such a churchically incorrect thing.
Until then we have Trump who at least says some politically incorrect things in some not all areas.
Yep, it’s going to be a long summer.
This so reminds me of the movie Bedazzled. I much preferred the original with Peter Cook as the devil and Dudley Moore as his hapless victim to the remake. You can almost see Hillary blowing a raspberry and suddenly appearing in the devil’s lair to complain that her wish has gone terribly wrong. I mean, after she lost the last election to Obama she was quite specific that she wanted to run against a complete stooge. Somehow, her deal with the devil backfired yet again. The only difference is that Dudley Moore’s character was likeable. In the current version, Hillary plays both roles.
Republicans always receive terrible press from the out-of-the-pits-of-Hell liberal main stream media. If they can’t find dirt, they will make it up.
Hillary and that $100 million the Clinti Foundation received from the Muslim countries, including Saudi Arabia, mostly during her time as Secretary of State terrify me. That hypocritical murdering liar has never once spoke up for the women who are enslaves, abused, and murdered under the guise of Islam, a political philosophy parading around as a religion.
[Hillary] belong[s] to [her] father, the devil, and [she] want[s] to carry out [her] father’s desires. He was a murderer from the beginning, not holding to the truth, for there is no truth in him. When he lies, he speaks his native language, for he is a liar and the father of lies.
John 8:44
I SSSOOO wanted to see brilliant, articulate Cruz make mince meat of Killary (mispelled on purpose) in a debate. *sigh*
We are stuck with a much less argumentatively sophisticated, sophomoric, rather crude bomb thrower in Trump. *longer sigh*