Friday, March 29, AD 2024 6:45am

All For Naught?

[11] And when Gad was come to David, he said to him: Thus saith the Lord: choose which thou wilt: [12] Either three years’ famine: or three months to flee from thy enemies, and not to be able to escape their sword: or three days to have the sword of the Lord, and pestilence in the land, and the angel of the Lord destroying in all the coasts of Israel: now therefore see what I shall answer him who sent me. [13] And David said to Gad: I am on every side in a great strait: but it is better for me to fall into the hands of the Lord, for his mercies are many, than into the hands of men. [14] So the Lord sent a pestilence upon Israel. And there fell of Israel seventy thousand men. [15] And he sent an angel to Jerusalem, to strike it: and as he was striking it, the Lord beheld, and took pity for the greatness of the evil: and said to the angel that destroyed: It is enough, now stop thy hand. And the angel of the Lord stood by the thrashing floor of Ornan the Jebusite.

1 Chronicles 21: 11-15

With all our science, much remains mysterious about viruses.  The Spanish Flu in the US in 1918 came in two waves:  Spring and Fall.  The Fall wave was more severe and then dissipated to nothing abruptly in November.  Why?  We still aren’t sure.  Which brings us to Covid-19:

 

A prominent Israeli mathematician, analyst and former general claims simple statistical analysis demonstrates that the spread of COVID-19 peaks after about 40 days and declines to almost zero after 70 days — no matter where it strikes, and no matter what measures governments impose to try to thwart it.

Prof Isaac Ben-Israel, head of the Security Studies program in Tel Aviv University and the chairman of the National Council for Research and Development, told Israel’s Channel 12 (Hebrew) Monday night that research he conducted with a fellow professor, analyzing the growth and decline of new cases in countries around the world, showed repeatedly that “there’s a set pattern” and “the numbers speak for themselves.”

While he said he supports social distancing, the widespread shuttering of economies worldwide constitutes a demonstrable error in light of those statistics. In Israel’s case, he noted, about 140 people normally die every day. To have shuttered much of the economy because of a virus that is killing one or two a day is a radical error that is unnecessarily costing Israel 20% of its GDP, he charged.

Go here to read the rest.  Man has much to endure in this Vale of Tears from Nature, but our biggest disasters are always man made.

 

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John F. Kennedy
John F. Kennedy
Thursday, April 16, AD 2020 10:08am

Why? Because the Angel sheathed his sword.

T. Shaw
T. Shaw
Thursday, April 16, AD 2020 10:12am

My question was when would ‘they’ realize that destroying the economy and the locking up everybody didn’t save lives.

Obvious answer: Never.

Coincidence?

The same people that told us we needed to destroy the economy and lock up everybody believe there are 57 genders.

Ernst Schreiber
Ernst Schreiber
Thursday, April 16, AD 2020 11:50am

I love how the referenced article concludes by quoting Prof. Gabi Barbash, “a hospital director and the former Health Ministry director general”:
“I strongly urge that we not let. mathematicians — who know nothing about biology — determine when we lift the lockdown.”

No. Instead we should let hospital directors and health commissars –who know nothing about economics– determine when we lift the lockdown.

Art Deco
Art Deco
Thursday, April 16, AD 2020 12:09pm

There is a distinction between the shape of the curve and the area underneath it. It’s hard to take this man seriously.

Ernst Schreiber
Ernst Schreiber
Thursday, April 16, AD 2020 7:07pm

Not sure I understand the objection. Math really isn’t my thing. But, if I’m understanding both Ben-Israel and Art, and granted, I may not be, if Ben-Israel is right, when the second wave hits (if a second wave hits), the countries that did little or nothing will have fewer of their citizens still susceptible to the virus because they took a bigger hit up front (Art’s area under the graph, if I’m following correctly).

That strikes me, temperamentally speaking, as preferable to drawing it out.

But then, I’m probably crazy, and I’m sure yuse guys would scoff if you knew what I was basing my paradigm for dealing with this on.

Bob Kurland, Ph.D.
Admin
Thursday, April 16, AD 2020 7:59pm

Ernst, sometimes intuition is better than numbers…especially when a good portion of the numbers are phony.

Ernst Schreiber
Ernst Schreiber
Thursday, April 16, AD 2020 8:22pm

I guess we’ll see. My panicky local authorities are about to send us to our room without supper for 3 weeks. And if this guy is right, we’ll peak next week and drop off when the shelter in place order is lifted. Naturally the politicians will congratulate themselves, and I’ll be fit to be tied because as far as I can tell, what will happen will happen, regardless of what the deciders decide to do.

Michael Dowd
Michael Dowd
Friday, April 17, AD 2020 2:33am

Why did this happen? Because our leaders judgement has been blinded by sin. See E. Michael Jones:

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